Uncertainty Within Economic Models

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    Uncertainty Within Economic Models
    By: Lars Peter Hansen; Thomas J Sargent
    Publisher:
    WSPC
    Print ISBN: 9789814578110, 9814578118
    eText ISBN: 9789814578134, 9814578134
    Pages: 484
    Format: EPUB
    Available from $ 39.00 USD
    SKU 9789814578134
    Written by Lars Peter Hansen (Nobel Laureate in Economics, 2013) and Thomas Sargent (Nobel Laureate in Economics, 2011), Uncertainty within Economic Models includes articles adapting and applying robust control theory to problems in economics and finance. This book extends rational expectations models by including agents who doubt their models and adopt precautionary decisions designed to protect themselves from adverse consequences of model misspecification. This behavior has consequences for what are ordinarily interpreted as market prices of risk, but big parts of which should actually be interpreted as market prices of model uncertainty. The chapters discuss ways of calibrating agents' fears of model misspecification in quantitative contexts.
    Contents:
    Introduction
    Discounted Linear Exponential Quadratic Gaussian Control
    Robust Permanent Income and Pricing
    A Quartet of Semigroups for Model Specification, Robustness, Prices of Risk, and Model Detection
    Robust Control and Model Uncertainty
    Robust Control and Model Misspecification
    Doubts or Variability?
    Robust Estimation and Control without Commitment
    Fragile Beliefs and the Price of Uncertainty
    Beliefs, Doubts and Learning: Valuing Macroeconomic Risk
    Three Types of Ambiguity

    Readership: Graduate students; researchers and economists interested in Econometrics; Macroeconomics and Dynamic Programming.
    Key Features:
    A collection of papers adapting and applying robust control theory to problems in economics and finance
    Brings together works by two active researchers in the field and their coauthors
     

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